A few things I really enjoy reading about are survival, fitness (the science of it) and complex systems. The more you learn about them, the more you see that they all share common properties. Most things in life do; first principles spread across disciplines.
One common theme that recently stuck out to me is the importance of rapid response. Good things generally take time to accumulate. But danger comes hard and fast. You rarely see deep trouble creeping up, but it arguably has the most impact. The response to the quick onset of unfavourable conditions can be the difference between life and death, but in less extreme conditions it can also be the key in being successful versus the pack.
“Anyone can steer the ship when the sea is calm:”
– Publilius Syrus
The ability to think and act quickly is a complex reaction. It’s shaped by your past experiences, mental models, risk tolerance and your natural response to the cascade of hormones released by stress. To do the topic justice requires a book, and many have been written. I’m currently just finishing up Deep Survival by Laurence Gonzalez, and that’s where the idea for this post really took root. There is a quote from a man name Mark Morey, who runs the Vermont Wilderness Survival School, referencing an exercise where he has kids build a fire in four minutes as part of hypothetical scenario to save him after falling in a freezing cold stream, where he says ‘The fight for survival requires a burst of energy’.
I think most of us know that extreme situations require a quick response, so the comment itself isn’t that striking in isolation. But what really stuck out is the fact it’s such a recurring theme almost everywhere you look. While the book highlights many examples, the first thing I thought of upon reading that was the ‘The Quick and the Dead’ from Pavel Tsatsouline, CEO of StrongFirst and programming (physical training, not computers) genius. If you don’t know him, he introduced kettlebells to the Western World and creates brutally efficient training programs, some of which are designed to train special forces soldiers. The book is centered around a program built to develop power, and is filled with the science of why you want to be both strong and powerful. The prologue really builds the case the nicely; when a predator in the wild loses their ability to rise to make an explosive kill, it’s the beginning of the end.
2020 is another perfect example. Years of slowly built progress was quickly destroyed within a matter of a month as COVID spread exponentially around the globe. Businesses built around physical interactions and locations were hit hard and were forced to adapt or see how long they could bleed before they die. The stock market was hit even faster. Anyone who panicked and sold, without a clear plan for action on when and where to re-enter, got fleeced as markets bounced back quickly and fiercely.
There are examples everywhere. A relatively organized crowd can quickly turn into a death trample. A small argument with a significant other can turn into a relationship ending fight.
That highlights the problem, but presenting a problem without a solution is something that happens too much these days and is a sign of stupidity in my opinion. So what can we do with this information?
The most beneficial thing we can do is plan for these fast onset, high magnitude events. They say that in stressful times, we revert to our training. If you’re talking about physical survival, it means that you should have the power and strength to jump into action quickly. In my mind, that favours training for power over steady state cardio. In investing, it means spending the time to have a plan for market volatility instead of acting on the nerve. For life in general, it means exposing yourself to various conditions in controlled settings; heat, cold, night, conflict, difficult conversations.
These are all things that interest me, and I’ll write about each further in later posts.